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GOP Set to Secure House Majority

Republicans are one seat away from obtaining a majority in the House of Representatives. As of Tuesday morning, thirteen races are still up for grabs. If poll trending continues, Republicans will gain a few more seats, giving them a slim majority over the Democrats. Although the GOP will control the House, with the Democrats in the Senate and President Biden’s veto vote, conservatives will unlikely be able to pass any major legislation.

FOX NEWS: BALANCE OF POWER: Where do the uncalled House races stand as GOP nears majority?

Brandon Gillespie; November 15, 2022

As Republicans are now one seat away from capturing a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, there are still 13 races yet to be called that will determine how close the margins could be for the GOP should it ultimately prevail.

A party must win 218 seats to win a majority in the 435-seat body, a feat appearing to be within the grasp of the GOP, who have won 217 seats so far to Democrats’ 205.

Here is where the remaining races stand as votes continue to be counted in states across the country:

AK-AL – Alaska’s At Large Congressional District has been rated by Fox News’ Power Rankings as “lean Democratic” due to the state’s newly implemented ranked-choice voting system giving incumbent Democrat Rep. Mary Peltola an advantage against her Republican opponents, former Gov. Sarah Palin and Nick Begich. Peltola lead in the first round of the vote, with Palin in second and Begich in third, but failed to secure 50%, meaning those who voted for the candidate with the least number of votes will have their second choice vote reallocated to the other candidates until one reaches 50%. The second round tabulation is scheduled to take place on Wednesday, Nov. 23. 

ME-02 – Maine similarly implemented a ranked-choice voting system following a state-wide referendum in 2016. Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jared Golden failed to reach 50% of the vote last week, but is currently leading former Republican Congressman Bruce Poliquin, who represented the district from 2015 to 2019. The second round tabulation is scheduled for Tuesday, Nov. 15. Fox News’ Power Rankings has rated the race as a toss-up.

CA-03 – Republican Kevin Kiley holds a commanding lead over Democrat Kermit Jones; however, approximately only a little over half of ballots have been counted in the “likely Republican” race. California accepts mail-ballots for the week following Election Day, although the ballots must be postmarked by Election Day. The ballots must also go through a signature verification process before being counted.

CA-06 – Incumbent Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is leading Republican challenger Tamika Hamilton in this seat considered to be safe Democrat.

CA-09 – Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Harder holds a large lead over Republican challenger Tom Patti in this “lean Democratic” seat.

CA-13 – This toss-up race is among the tightest remaining as Republican John Duarte narrowly leads Democrat Adam Gray by less than 800 votes.

CA-21 – This safe Democratic seat is still yet to be called due to the ongoing vote count; however, incumbent Democratic Rep. Jim Costa leads Republican challenger Michael Maher by more than 7,000 votes. 

CA-22 – In another tight race, incumbent Republican Rep. David Valadao leads Democratic challenger Rudy Salas by more than 3,000 votes. Fox News’ Power rankings has rated the race as a toss-up.

CA-27 – Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Garcia holds a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Christy Smith by a little more than 13,000 votes in the “lean Republican” seat.

CA-47 – Incumbent Democratic Rep. Katie Porter leads Republican challenger Scott Baugh by less than 3,000 votes in this toss-up race.

CA-49 – This toss-up race currently has incumbent Democratic Rep. Mike Levin leading Republican challenger Brian Maryott by a little more than 13,000 votes.

CO-03 – Incumbent Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert was not expected to have such a close race with her Democratic opponent, Adam Frisch, in the “likely Republican” seat, however, the one-term congresswoman is narrowly leading the vote count by a little more than 1,000 votes. Mail-in ballots from out of state and overseas military service members can arrive as late as Wednesday as long as they were postmarked by Election Day, meaning the count could continue into later this week.

CO-08 – Democratic candidate Yadira Caraveo narrowly leads Republican candidate Barbara Kirkmeyer in this “lean Republican” race, but, like the 3rd District race, mail-in ballots can arrive from overseas or out of state as late as Wednesday if they were postmarked by Election Day. 

Photo: Brandon Bell, Mary Peltola campaign, Ash Adams for The Washington Post via Getty Images

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