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Vulnerable Montana Democratic Sen. Jon Tester to face Trump-backed Republican Tim Sheehy in key November race

Tester, a three-term incumbent, faced little opposition in the Democratic primary, winning his race with more than 97% support.

Sheehy, a former Navy SEAL and businessman who had been endorsed by former President Donald Trump, also cruised to victory, garnering 73.5% support in the GOP primary.

“It’s official. I’m facing off against Mitch McConnell’s handpicked candidate Tim Sheehy for Montana’s U.S. Senate seat,” Tester wrote on X Tuesday night. “And I’m going to win.”

“I have farm equipment that’s been in Montana longer than Tim Sheehy,” the 67-year-old senator snarked in a separate post.

Despite his confidence, the Montana Democrat faces a tough re-election battle in a deeply red state.

Tester is the only Democratic member of Montana’s congressional delegation.

The state also has a Republican governor and both chambers of the statehouse are GOP-controlled.

Montana voters backed Trump in the 2020 presidential election by a 16.4 percentage-point margin, and by a 20.4-point margin four years earlier.

Tester’s previous general election victories have also been narrow.

In 2006, he was elected to the Senate by a 0.9 percentage point margin. He did better in 2012, winning re-election by 3.7 percentage points, before falling back a bit in 2018, when he emerged victorious by only 3.5 percentage points.

“America is at a crossroads and we need a new generation of leaders to save our country,” Sheehy wrote on X after his primary win.

“I am humbled and honored by all the support and look forward to finally retiring the #1 recipient of lobbyist cash and pro-Biden liberal #RetireTester” the 37-year-old candidate added.

Tester has a 5.5-point edge over Sheehy, according to a RealClearPolitics average of polls, though polling in the race has been limited to only a couple of surveys, and none since March.

“I am humbled and honored by all the support and look forward to finally retiring the #1 recipient of lobbyist cash and pro-Biden liberal #RetireTester” the 37-year-old candidate added.

Democrats currently have a 51-49 edge over Republicans in the upper chamber.

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